NHL
Reinbacher's Injury Reprieve Opens Montreal's Blue Line; Xhekaj's Energy Threatens Bottom-Six Hierarchy
Two young Canadiens are forcing roster decisions during camp, but only one has a clear path to season minutes—and that's where the betting edge lives.

David Reinbacher and Florian Xhekaj arrived at Montreal's training camp without guaranteed NHL spots, competing against an already-crowded roster. Both have performed well enough to complicate the Canadiens' cut decisions. The real story, however, is asymmetric: Reinbacher has an unexpected runway because of an injury to Kaiden Guhle; Xhekaj is talented but expendable. That distinction matters for how each player shapes team depth and, by extension, Montreal's offensive profile and line construction through the season.
Reinbacher, the fifth-overall pick in 2023, has limped through a difficult development arc marred by injuries. A strong camp performance would normally mean little—the Canadiens have an established defensive core and no urgent need to rush a prospect. But Guhle's injury changes the calculus entirely. Suddenly, Montreal has a legitimate top-four vacancy. Reinbacher's size (6-foot-3), mobility, and right-hand shot fit that mold. If the Canadiens believe he's ready for sustained minutes rather than spot duty, he slots into the lineup; if not, Laval provides developmental runway. The binary outcome is clear: he either plays or develops elsewhere. That certainty reduces noise in Montreal's blue line composition.
Xhekaj presents the opposite problem. The 22-year-old winger has built a camp reputation on physicality and energy—classic bottom-six traits—but doesn't have a forced opening. Montreal carries depth at forward, and sending Xhekaj to Laval for significant minutes remains organizationally sound. The tension is philosophical: do you reward a strong camp audition with a 13th or 14th forward role, or do you preserve his development window by keeping him in an AHL workhorse position? That decision cascades. If Xhekaj makes the team, someone else gets squeezed into fewer minutes. If he doesn't, the Canadiens' fourth-line rotation remains predictable.
For bettors, Reinbacher's likely integration is the actionable signal. A younger, mobile defenseman entering the lineup changes how Montreal's breakout pace and transition game evolve—Reinbacher's speed allows for quicker outlet passes and fewer dump-and-chase sequences. That favors shot volume, especially on plays initiated from the blue line. Montreal's team total and over/under lines may not yet reflect a potential top-four upgrade in the transition game. If Reinbacher starts the season in the lineup and Guhle remains out, expect shots-on-goal to trend higher than preseason assumptions priced in. Xhekaj's arc is noisier; a fringe addition to the bottom six doesn't materially reshape team pace.
The market likely assumes Reinbacher develops in Laval. If Montreal's medical staff clears Guhle for a later start, Reinbacher's roster odds contract sharply. The window to size up Canadiens team totals and transition-heavy props on the assumption of Reinbacher minutes is narrow—closing as soon as Guhle's status becomes public.