San Francisco Giants Own the Worst Start in Franchise History — and the Betting Markets Haven't Fully Caught Up
By Justin Erickson ·
A 143-year-old franchise is rewriting its record books for all the wrong reasons, and the offensive numbers are ugly enough to matter every single night on the totals board.
The San Francisco Giants sit at 13-21, a record that ties the worst start in franchise history dating back to 1883 — worse than any team Willie Mays, Barry Bonds, or Buster Posey ever suited up for. As CBS Sports reported, a 0-6 road trip through Philadelphia and Tampa Bay — punctuated by three walk-off losses — pushed San Francisco eight games back in the NL West and left first-year manager Tony Vitello admitting he was "searching for any positives" after Sunday's 2-1 extra-innings defeat. This isn't a slump. This is a structural collapse.
The offensive numbers are among the worst in baseball by nearly every measure. San Francisco is scoring 3.12 runs per game — dead last in the majors — with a league-low 19 home runs and an on-base percentage that ranks 30th. The Giants have struck out 268 times against just 69 walks through 34 games. That strikeout-to-walk ratio would be tolerable with elite power backing it up; instead, the slugging percentage sits at .355 against a league average of .393. The team's 84 OPS+, even after adjusting for Oracle Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions, tells you the ballpark isn't the problem. The lineup is.
Vitello, hired by team president Buster Posey in a bold move from the University of Tennessee, became the first college head coach to jump directly to an MLB managerial post. The transition has been rocky in visible ways — lineup construction, bullpen deployment — though to be fair, no manager conjures contact and plate discipline from thin air. The roster holes are real: first base, shortstop, left field, and center field have all graded among the worst positions in baseball by value. The Giants had a moment in late April where they won seven of ten and briefly looked like they might stabilize. That's dead now.
For bettors, the team total angle on San Francisco is as clean as it gets right now. At 3.12 runs per game, the Giants are routinely failing to clear even modest team total lines. When they're on the road — which was the site of this 0-6 skid — the offensive environment only gets harder. Their upcoming schedule offers no relief: the Padres (20-13), Pirates (19-16), Dodgers (21-13), and Athletics (18-16) are all above .500, and San Francisco doesn't face a sub-.500 opponent until May 18. Targeting the under on Giants team totals, particularly in road games and against pitching-quality opponents, is the sharpest angle available. The first-five-innings total is equally exploitable — this lineup doesn't manufacture runs early, and opposing starters can attack the zone aggressively given the Giants' 268 strikeouts.
The NRFI market also deserves attention when San Francisco is involved. A team this passive at the plate — 69 walks in 34 games, no power, high strikeout volume — is structurally unlikely to push a run across in the first inning with any regularity. The Giants' -34 run differential is second-worst in baseball. Until Vitello and Posey find a way to inject actual offensive production into this roster, lean hard on the under side of any total the Giants touch.