MLB

Freeman Uses Dodgers' Bye Week to Rebuild Mechanics Before NLDS

A five-day window between the regular season and postseason gives the eight-time All-Star a rare chance to recalibrate his swing without the pressure of live games.

XLinkedInBluesky
Freddie Freeman and Los Angeles Dodgers — Freeman Uses Dodgers' Bye Week to Rebuild Mechanics Before NLDS

Freddie Freeman finished the regular season with a .792 OPS—his lowest in a full season since 2011—after posting a .224 slugging percentage in September with only one extra-base hit. Manager Dave Roberts confirmed Freeman was managing right knee soreness in early September, a constraint that Freeman himself described in a Tuesday team call: he refused to blame injuries for the slump, but acknowledged the discomfort likely forced subconscious mechanical adjustments that backfired. The real problem, as Roberts framed it, was not the knee itself but the way Freeman's swing had been compromised to manage it.

The Dodgers' bye week before Saturday's NLDS Game 1 creates a window Freeman doesn't normally get: five days to take aggressive reps in controlled settings without having to deploy untested mechanics in a playoff game two hours after practice. Freeman plans to take upwards of 400 swings in the cage before facing live pitching later in the week, with a specific focus on re-establishing the leg drive and step-out mechanics he used in the 2024 World Series. He believes his right knee is returning to full health, which means the mechanical work is now pure refinement, not injury management.

For postseason prop bettors, Freeman's September collapse established a floor much lower than his career baseline. His .224 slugging in the month was an outlier; over the previous five seasons, Freeman slugged above .450 in September in four of five years. But the recalibration frame matters: he's not just shaking off rust or regaining confidence in a normal off-day. This is deliberate mechanical surgery with only five days to test it. That compressed timeline means execution risk is elevated. Freeman himself expressed confidence in the work, noting he feels significantly better physically than in past postseasons, but the NLDS opener will be the first high-leverage test of swing changes made mid-recovery. Early postseason at-bats are volatile; a hitter working through mechanical adjustments is more prone to swing-and-miss and strikeout spikes, especially against playoff arms.

Freeman's strikeout rate in September was 28.4%, well above his season average of 18.2%. That divergence tracks with mechanical uncertainty. If the knee constraints are truly easing and the cage work translates, expect regression back toward his 18% seasonal rate. But if the five-day recalibration window is too short to ingrain the changes under pressure, postseason Freeman could carry that September volatility into October. His hit-rate props and strikeout totals in the first few NLDS games are the clearest edges: expect overvalued upside based on career memory and his All-Star status, offset by real mechanical friction and a rushed timeline to rebuild.

MLB Intelligence — Baseball intelligence beyond the box score. Open MLB Intelligence →