Pittsburgh's Second Line Stability is a Malkin-Novak-Chinakhov Lock—and a Prop Advantage
By PropBetEdge Editorial Team ·
The Penguins spent 222+ minutes together last season with a 51.8% expected-goals share and 52.1% high-danger-chance rate, and the team's front office should lock them in rather than gamble on training-camp reshuffles.
The Pittsburgh Penguins have solved a problem that has haunted them for years: a functional second line that doesn't depend on Sidney Crosby. The Malkin-Novak-Chinakhov trio played 222:55 together at five-on-five last season, controlling 51.8% of expected goals and 52.1% of high-danger chances while maintaining a plus-five goal differential. That isn't noise. It's a six-week sample of sustainable lineup architecture that earned the right to remain intact through training camp and into next season.
The mechanics are straightforward. Malkin, now in his age-40 campaign, no longer carries the full burden of second-line center duties—he spent the second half of last season on the wing, which preserves his scoring ability without asking him to build every transition from his own defensive zone. Novak handles neutral-zone puck transport and center responsibilities, reducing Malkin's workload while keeping the line structured. Chinakhov, acquired from Columbus and immediately productive (18 goals and 36 points in 43 games), supplies the speed and release to finish what Malkin and Novak generate. When the trio played together against Calgary in January, they combined for five points in a 4-1 win—a performance that showed how the line opposes defenses: Malkin's creativity, Novak's puck movement, and Chinakhov's finishing speed create a rapid problem-solving sequence that doesn't allow opposing structures to settle.
Head coach Dan Muse inherits a gift. Rather than open a second-line competition in camp, he should build the rest of the roster around this trio's proven chemistry and use preseason to solve problems elsewhere. Malkin's 19 goals and 61 points in 56 games last season prove he remains elite-caliber when placed in the right structure. Chinakhov's 18-goal pace over 43 games projects to 30+ in a full season; that production only materializes if the line stays whole. Breaking it up without evidence of dysfunction would be organizational self-sabotage dressed up as roster flexibility.
For prop players, this stability creates a clearer path to consistent output from all three forwards. Malkin's assists rise when he's paired with finishers; Novak's assists climb when he's centering for Chinakhov's shot volume; Chinakhov's goal and point totals scale predictably when he plays consistent minutes with Malkin's creative support. Last season's 51.8% expected-goals share wasn't an outlier—it was the natural outcome of three players whose skillsets compound each other. Expect those ratios to hold or improve as repetition deepens. In a market that may price Malkin's age-40 season with discount skepticism, or Chinakhov's goal line too conservatively based on his single season in Pittsburgh, the persistence of this line's chemistry is a mispriced edge.