Juan Soto's Leadoff Homer Headlines Mets' 10-5 Coors Field Blowout — Is a Real Streak Finally Forming?

By PropBetEdge Editorial Team ·

Four wins in five games doesn't erase a brutal April, but the Mets are hitting the ball, winning series, and giving bettors a reason to pay attention again.

Juan Soto's Leadoff Homer Headlines Mets' 10-5 Coors Field Blowout — Is a Real Streak Finally Forming?

As MLB.com reported, Juan Soto crushed the first leadoff home run of his career Wednesday at Coors Field, setting the tone for a 10-5 New York blowout over Colorado. Soto, batting leadoff for just the fourth time in his career, went the other way on Michael Lorenzen's first pitch to put the Mets ahead before most fans had settled in. Marcus Semien added a two-run shot in the ninth and finished with four hits — his first four-hit game in a Mets uniform. Every batter in the lineup reached base. New York has now won four of its last five, claiming back-to-back series victories for the first time this season.

Context matters here, and so does honesty: both wins came against the Angels and Rockies, two of the worst teams in baseball, and Wednesday's offensive eruption happened at altitude in one of the most offense-friendly parks on the planet. Colorado's pitching staff ranks near the bottom of the league in ERA and WHIP, which means a 10-run output carries a heavy park-and-opponent asterisk. Freddy Peralta delivered five clean innings and picked up the win, but the Mets' bullpen did let four runs score in the sixth and another in the ninth, forcing manager Carlos Mendoza to deploy closer Devin Williams in an eight-run game. The structural issues haven't disappeared.

What has changed is the lineup's posture. Soto's move to the leadoff spot — even on a trial basis — is worth tracking closely. His career OBP sits above .400, and leading off puts him on base more often for Semien, Francisco Alvarez, and Bo Bichette to drive him in. Bichette recorded an RBI hit in Wednesday's sixth-inning rally, and Alvarez also knocked one in as part of an eight-batter frame that blew the game open. Carson Benge, the quiet piece of New York's recent surge, added a two-run single for the second straight series. The bottom of this order is producing in a way it simply wasn't three weeks ago.

From a betting standpoint, the Mets' team total has become genuinely interesting — but directionally, this week tells you more about Colorado's pitching than New York's offense. The Rockies have now allowed 10+ runs twice in their last five home games. Any time the Mets draw a Colorado starting pitcher with an ERA north of 5.00, their team total deserves a serious look on the over, particularly if Soto remains in the leadoff spot. For individual props, Soto's total bases line has been quiet relative to his performance — he's posted multiple-total-base games in four of his last six — and Semien's hit prop is worth monitoring given his 4-for-4 Wednesday and recent contact rate. Peralta's strikeout number also warrants attention on his next start; he was efficient Wednesday but didn't pile up Ks against a Rockies lineup that's among the easiest to punch out in the NL.

The Mets head into their next series still sitting below .500, still without several injured bats, and still carrying the wreckage of a 17-loss stretch that defines how most of the league views them. But the betting market tends to be slow to adjust on team narratives — and right now, New York's lineup is making contact, posting crooked numbers, and winning the games it's supposed to win. That's not a buy-high signal, but it's a flag worth watching as lines get set over the next week.