Red Sox Injury Reprieve Accelerates Return Timeline for Contreras, Anthony, Crochet
By Ty Whitney ·
Boston's three most impactful offensive and pitching contributors are progressing faster than expected, which means the betting window on depleted Red Sox totals is narrowing.
Willson Contreras is likely to play Wednesday against Philadelphia after missing just one game with a right hand contusion sustained in Sunday's loss to Tampa Bay. The Red Sox first baseman participated in baseball activities Tuesday and signaled readiness to the coaching staff, per interim manager Chad Tracy. This matters because Contreras carries the team's offensive load: his .847 OPS ranks second only to Wilyer Abreu, and his eight home runs and 23 RBIs lead the club. A Boston lineup already struggling to generate consistent run production can't afford to lose the only two hitters functioning at an above-replacement level.
Roman Anthony presents a more ambiguous timeline. The 23-year-old prospect remains in a brace with a right wrist sprain suffered May 4 and hasn't taken baseball activity since the injury. Tracy indicated grip strength is the gating factor for a potential return Friday in Atlanta—technically his first eligible date—but acknowledged the timeline depends on the rate of neuromuscular recovery. Wrist sprains that require bracing and strength reconditioning typically impose a 10-to-14-day functional window, which would point toward mid-May or later for meaningful at-bats. However, Tracy's willingness to say "if it improves quickly" suggests Anthony could accelerate if pain tolerates it.
Garrett Crochet remains the wildcard. The Red Sox left-hander has been sidelined since late April with shoulder inflammation and has progressed to 120-foot throws and mound work—a significant step forward from immobilization. Tuesday marked his first eligibility for activation, but he won't return until completing a full bullpen session and live batting practice, which typically requires another 7-10 days minimum. His absence has forced Boston to lean on a thinner rotation, and his return would immediately upgrade the pitching infrastructure.
For bettors, the prop implications hinge on timing. If Contreras returns immediately—which appears likely—Red Sox team totals will normalize back toward pre-injury expectations, erasing the discount that accrued during his absence. Sportsbooks have likely adjusted runs and RBI lines downward with him sidelined; a full lineup restoration would pressure unders on team totals currently priced in the 3.5-to-4.0 run range. Anthony's return, if it happens Friday, carries less immediate consequence since his role remains developmental, but Crochet's activation remains 7-10 days away. The betting window on depressed Boston totals closes within the next 48 hours as Contreras availability becomes certain.