Diaz Returns to LA's Bullpen, But the Closer Role Remains Fluid
By PropBetEdge Editorial Team ·
Edwin Diaz's activation after three months of rehab ends the Dodgers' closer carousel—but eight different pitchers have already saved games, and Dave Roberts may not hand him the job cleanly.
Edwin Diaz will rejoin the Dodgers' bullpen on Wednesday, July 30, 2026, after spending the last three months recovering from elbow surgery. The 34-year-old right-hander has been sidelined since mid-April, meaning he hasn't recorded a save since April 7. He carries just four saves on the season, a stark contrast to his résumé: seven seasons of at least 20 saves during his time with the Mariners and Mets, capped by a 28-save campaign in 2025 with New York before signing a three-year, $69 million deal with Los Angeles last December.
The timing of his return intensifies questions about the Dodgers' closing structure. Tanner Scott has thrived in the interim, posting a 2.32 ERA with a 0.80 WHIP and a 34.6% strikeout rate while collecting 16 saves. But Scott was never supposed to be the primary closer; his role was always temporary. The real complication is how many pitchers have actually saved games in Diaz's absence. Brock Stewart, Will Klein, and Edgardo Henriquez have all notched saves over the past month. Stewart's save in Saturday's win over the Mets—even at age 34 and without a save since 2023—suggests Dave Roberts has been less concerned with defining roles and more interested in managing a team that appears destined for October regardless of July outcomes. Eight different Dodgers own a save in 2026, a byproduct of that experimental approach.
Diaz's lack of setup experience complicates the transition back to a defined ninth-inning role. More than 400 of his 525⅓ career innings have come in the ninth; he knows nothing but closing. The Dodgers' medical staff will likely exercise caution, avoiding consecutive outings early in his return. That creates immediate leverage for Scott, who could maintain meaningful save opportunities even as Diaz reclaims primary closer duties. Roberts' comfort with using Stewart and others against inferior competition also suggests Diaz won't simply inherit every single save. The Dodgers are 1.5 to 2 games clear of second place; experimentation remains low-cost.
For prop bettors, this shapes two competing angles. First, Diaz's strikeout rate from his Mets tenure (29.1% career K-rate) and his recent rehab outings should command attention. If he takes the ninth inning cleanly, his high heat-velocity profile will generate plus strikeouts against right-handed batters in close games. Second, the fractured closer situation means neither Scott nor Diaz will accumulate saves at the rate a traditional closer typically would. Fade full-season save totals for both pitchers—the Dodgers' structure is too volatile, and Roberts' playoff-already-booked mentality means he'll continue mixing in Stewart, Klein, and whoever else performs on a given night. The volume simply won't consolidate the way the market may price it.